Makori Deep-03 Discovery: A Game-Changer for Pakistan’s Energy Independence

Makori Deep-03 Discovery: A Game-Changer for Pakistan’s Energy Independence

On June 27, 2025, the Makori Deep-03 well in the TAL Block, Karak district, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan, was announced as a significant hydrocarbon discovery. Operated by MOL Pakistan and involving stakeholders OGDCL, PPL, POL, and GHPL, this development is expected to enhance Pakistan’s domestic energy capacity, reduce import bills, and stabilize energy supply.

Overview

  • Location: TAL Block, Karak district, KP
  • Well Depth: 3,887 meters
  • Yield:
    • 2,112 barrels/day of condensate
    • 22.08 MMSCFD of natural gas
  • Timeline: Production to begin by August 2025

Stakeholders and Interests

  • MOL Pakistan: Operator, 10%
  • OGDCL: ~30% (pre-discovery 27.763%)
  • PPL: ~30% (pre-discovery 27.76%)
  • POL: ~21.05% (pre-discovery 25%)
  • GHPL: 5%

Strategic Impact

  • Reduces reliance on imports (85% of crude, 29% of gas, $14.5B/year)
  • Eases pressure on forex reserves ($9.1B as of June 2025)
  • Enhances energy security and stability

Financial Implications

  • Condensate Revenue: $52.7M annually (at $68.5/bbl)
  • EPS Impact:
    • OGDCL: PKR 0.66–0.70
    • PPL: PKR 1.00–1.05
    • POL: PKR 7.25–7.64

Challenges

  • Infrastructure delays
  • Security threats in KP
  • LNG oversupply reducing demand
  • Fuel price hikes and regulatory shifts

Broader Significance

  • Encourages further exploration in TAL Block
  • Complements international ventures (e.g., Offshore Block 5 in Abu Dhabi)
  • Supports PSX bull run and investor confidence

FAQs

QuestionAnswer
What is Makori Deep-03?A hydrocarbon well in the TAL Block yielding 2,112 BPD condensate & 22.08 MMSCFD gas.
Who operates it?MOL Pakistan with a 10% stake.
When does production begin?August 2025 (estimated).
What is the financial impact?~$52.7M in annual condensate revenue; EPS boost for stakeholders.
How deep is the well?3,887 meters.
What are the main companies involved?MOL, OGDCL, PPL, POL, GHPL.
Will this reduce imports?Yes, it reduces crude & LNG import dependency.

Comparison Tables

Stakeholders’ Working Interests

CompanyPre-DiscoveryPost-DiscoveryRole
MOL Pakistan10%10%Operator
OGDCL27.763%~30%Technical Leader
PPL27.76%~30%Technical Partner
POL25%~21.05%High EPS Impact
GHPL5%5%Govt Stakeholder

Financial Impact Estimates

CompanyStakeRevenue (Est.)EPS Impact
OGDCL~30%$15.8MPKR 0.66–0.70
PPL~30%$15.8MPKR 1.00–1.05
POL~21.05%$11MPKR 7.25–7.64

Summary

Discovery: Makori Deep-03 Oil & Gas Discovery
Location: TAL Block, Karak, KP
Date: June 27, 2025
Production: 2,112 BPD condensate, 22.08 MMSCFD gas
Depth: 3,887 meters
Start of Production: August 2025 (expected)
Operator: MOL Pakistan (10%)
Stakeholders: OGDCL (~30%), PPL (~30%), POL (~21.05%), GHPL (5%)
EPS Impact: POL (PKR 7.25–7.64), PPL (PKR 1.00–1.05), OGDCL (PKR 0.66–0.70)
Impact: Reduces imports, boosts energy security, investor confidence high on PSX

Import Reduction Potential

ProductCurrent Imports (2024)Potential Savings Post-Discovery
Crude Oil169,000 BPD2,112 BPD from Makori (~1.2% savings)
LNG$3.5 billionReduced due to 22.08 MMSCFD gas
Total Fuel Imports$14.5 billionGradual annual savings expected

Market Cap Movement After Announcement (June 27, 2025)

CompanyMarket Cap (USD)Movement
OGDCL$3.35 billion↑ Positive
PPL$1.64 billion↑ Positive
POL$1+ billion↑ Highest EPS Impact

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